John A. Charles Jr. says the Oregon State Legislature should cut light rail from the project while it still can
John A. Charles, Jr.
Cascade Policy Institute
At a December 17th meeting of the Joint Legislative Committee on the Interstate Bridge Replacement, legislators were promised that the proposed light rail service to Vancouver would arrive every 6.7 minutes during weekday rush hours.
We don’t need to guess whether this forecast will be wrong. We already know it.
Before the Yellow Line opened in 2004, TriMet promised that peak-hour trains would arrive every 7.5 minutes by 2020.
That never happened. In fact, the Yellow Line only arrives every 15 minutes, 50 percent below what was promised.
Not only did TriMet planners give the wrong forecast for levels of service, they weren’t even close on the ridership estimates. TriMet predicted 35,320 weekday riders on the Yellow Line by 2020. Actual ridership is 10,611, 70 percent below the forecast.
The transit agency for Vancouver already offers express bus service to Portland, which is a superior ride compared to light rail. Spending $3 billion to add rail will be a waste of money.
The legislature should cut light rail from the project while it still can.
John A. Charles Jr. is president and CEO of Cascade Policy Institute, Oregon’s free market public policy research organization.
Also read:
- POLL: Would you support upgrading and reusing the existing Interstate Bridges if it saved billions of dollars?
Rep. John Ley questions whether $400M in bridge demolition costs could be redirected to other regional transportation needs. - Letter: TriMet’s history of over-predicting light rail ridership
TriMet’s MAX Green Line carried ~10,000–11,000 weekday riders in 2024–2026, less than a third of its 2020 forecast. - Regional Transportation Council passes resolution asking IBR to extend light rail to Library Square
RTC voted 12-2 against Mayor McEnerny-Ogle’s push to lock light rail to Library Square into writing. - Letter: Buyer beware (caveat emptor)
Bob Ortblad argues the IBR recycled a $200M bridge design while spending $30M on public relations. - Ferguson rebuffs GOP lawmaker’s call to pause WA climate law
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