
Emerson College Polling released the new poll, which reports Trump leads Biden 46% to 43% with 11% undecided
Casey Harper
The Center Square
Former President Donald Trump holds a lead over President Joe Biden just a few months away from election day.
Emerson College Polling released the new poll, which reports Trump leads Biden 46% to 43% with 11% undecided.
When undecided voters were asked which candidate they lean toward, the poll evens up at 50-50 support. While the poll does even out, the number of voters unwilling to commit to Biden could suggest they are less enthusiastic and thus less willing to show up on election day.
According to the poll, 78% of Republicans “are extremely motivated, compared to 65% of Democrats and 63% of independents.”
The poll comes after what was widely considered a disastrous debate for the Biden campaign. During the debate, Biden trailed off, fumbled his words and became incoherent at times, sparking widespread dismay throughout the Democratic party and calls from some elected Democrats for the president to step aside for a new presidential candidate on the Democratic ticket.
So far, Biden has pushed back hard on the idea insisting that he will stay on the ballot and that he can beat Trump.
But since that debate, Trump, who already had a notable lead in most swing states, saw a bump in most polls.
The latest Emerson poll found Biden’s strength with Independents has waned in the last month.
“Since before the first presidential debate, former President Trump’s support remains at 46%, while President Biden’s support has decreased two percentage points,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement. “Notable shifts away from Biden occurred among independent voters, who break for Trump 42% to 38%; last month they broke for Biden 43% to 41%.”
Trump’s lead grows slightly when voters are given the chance to choose third party candidates, with 44% behind Trump, 40% supporting Biden, 6% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Cornel West and Jill Stein both receiving about 1% support, according to the poll.
The poll also showed that Biden’s job approval rating is down two points from last month, with 56% of those surveyed saying foreign policy is worse than when Biden took office.
“Perception of the status of U.S. foreign policy varies by party: 48% of Democrats think foreign policy is better now than four years ago, 87% of Republicans think it is worse, while 54% of independents think it is worse,” Kimball said.
This report was first published by The Center Square.
Also read:
- POLL: Should Fort Vancouver Regional Libraries prioritize stronger parental oversight for children’s access to materials?A packed meeting over changes to the Fort Vancouver Regional Libraries strategic plan has sparked debate over parental oversight and children’s access to materials.
- Clark County Council wants to come up with a plan to deal with unruly behavior at meetingsClark County Council members said they will explore policy changes after two disruptive incidents occurred during public comment at a recent meeting.
- Battle Ground Police investigate series of animal shootings involving blow dartsBattle Ground Police are investigating a series of animal shootings involving blow darts, with evidence recovered during a search warrant served February 17.
- Two Rivers Heritage Museum reopens for 2026Two Rivers Heritage Museum in Washougal will reopen March 7 with refreshed exhibits and a new display from its extensive Barbie doll collection.
- Vancouver to seal time capsule for 100 years as part of the Main Street Promise ProjectVancouver will place a Main Street Promise time capsule at Main Street and West 13th Street on February 20, to be opened in 2125.
- See works created by the artists of RedDoor Gallery exclusively for ART of the FEAST eventRedDoor Gallery and FEAST 316 will host ART of the FEAST on February 22 in downtown Camas, featuring fine art, curated wines, and appetizers.
- Letter: Brad Benton announces candidacy for County Council, District 5Brad Benton announces his candidacy for Clark County Council District 5, outlining positions on affordability, transportation, and public safety.








